
Issue 2/ 2019, article 8
Liliana Czwajda1, Monika Kosacka-Olejnik2, Izabela Kudelska2, Mariusz Kostrzewski3, Kanchana Sethanan4, Rapeepan Pitakaso5
1Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland
2Poznan University of Technology, Poznan, Poland
3Warsaw University of Technology, Warszawa, Poland
4Khonkean University, Khon Kaen, Thailand
5Ubonratchathani University, Ubon Ratchathani, Thailand
APPLICATION OF PREDICTION MARKETS PHENOMENON AS DECISION SUPPORT INSTRUMENT IN VEHICLE RECYCLING SECTOR
Abstract:
Background: The key players in the vehicles’ recycling system are disassembling facilities, which manage flows of waste and reusable parts. The focus of the company’s business activity lies in stream of reusable parts, which is the most valuable, considering possibilities of selling (economic value) and resources saving (ecologic value). As a result of conducted research problem with demand forecasting was identified, which was affected by the specific domain of business. The major objective of the paper was to present how to support demand forecasting on parts in disassembling facility with the use of predictive markets.
Methods: The problem area related to the demand forecasting in the disassembling companies was identified based on the previously conducted research and observations. The desk-research method was used to verify current knowledge on the forecasting methodology. Taking it into account, the predictive markets method was chosen in a specific research problem.
Results: In the paper, the idea of predictive markets was presented. What is more, general procedure of its implementation and practical application in supporting decision in disassembling companies were described.
Conclusions: Predictive markets which are based on the idea of crowdsourcing, use collective crowd intelligence, supporting many business areas, including automotive industry. The predictive market method was successfully adopted in disassembling facility in order to support decisions on demand forecasting of reusable parts. The main challenge in introducing predictive markets for enterprises application is IT support and that outlines direction for future research
Keywords: predictive markets, disassembling facility, demand forecasting, spare parts
2Poznan University of Technology, Poznan, Poland
3Warsaw University of Technology, Warszawa, Poland
4Khonkean University, Khon Kaen, Thailand
5Ubonratchathani University, Ubon Ratchathani, Thailand
Background: The key players in the vehicles’ recycling system are disassembling facilities, which manage flows of waste and reusable parts. The focus of the company’s business activity lies in stream of reusable parts, which is the most valuable, considering possibilities of selling (economic value) and resources saving (ecologic value). As a result of conducted research problem with demand forecasting was identified, which was affected by the specific domain of business. The major objective of the paper was to present how to support demand forecasting on parts in disassembling facility with the use of predictive markets.
Methods: The problem area related to the demand forecasting in the disassembling companies was identified based on the previously conducted research and observations. The desk-research method was used to verify current knowledge on the forecasting methodology. Taking it into account, the predictive markets method was chosen in a specific research problem.
Results: In the paper, the idea of predictive markets was presented. What is more, general procedure of its implementation and practical application in supporting decision in disassembling companies were described.
Conclusions: Predictive markets which are based on the idea of crowdsourcing, use collective crowd intelligence, supporting many business areas, including automotive industry. The predictive market method was successfully adopted in disassembling facility in order to support decisions on demand forecasting of reusable parts. The main challenge in introducing predictive markets for enterprises application is IT support and that outlines direction for future research
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Streszczenie w jezyku polskim.
DOI: 10.17270/J.LOG.2019.329
MLA | Czwajda, Liliana, et al. "Application of prediction markets phenomenon as decision support instrument in vehicle recycling sector." Logforum 15.2 (2019): 8. DOI: 10.17270/J.LOG.2019.329 |
APA | Liliana Czwajda, Monika Kosacka-Olejnik, Izabela Kudelska, Mariusz Kostrzewski, Kanchana Sethanan, Rapeepan Pitakaso (2019). Application of prediction markets phenomenon as decision support instrument in vehicle recycling sector. Logforum 15 (2), 8. DOI: 10.17270/J.LOG.2019.329 |
ISO 690 | CZWAJDA, Liliana, et al. Application of prediction markets phenomenon as decision support instrument in vehicle recycling sector. Logforum, 2019, 15.2: 8. DOI: 10.17270/J.LOG.2019.329 |